{"id":1221,"date":"2026-03-03T08:54:43","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T08:54:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/?p=1221"},"modified":"2026-03-03T08:54:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T08:54:43","slug":"el-nino-geri-donuyor-rekor-sicakliklar-ve-kuresel-hava-degisimleri-kapida","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/?p=1221","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o Geri D\u00f6n\u00fcyor: Rekor S\u0131cakl\u0131klar ve K\u00fcresel Hava De\u011fi\u015fimleri Kap\u0131da"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ulusal Okyanus ve Atmosfer \u0130daresi (NOAA), d\u00fcnya genelinde hava durumunu k\u00f6kten etkileyen&nbsp;<strong>El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>&nbsp;do\u011fa olay\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l yeniden sahneye \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini duyurdu. NOAA\u2019n\u0131n verilerine g\u00f6re, El Ni\u00f1o\u2019nun Temmuz-Eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6nemi ve sonras\u0131nda geli\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131&nbsp;<strong>%50 ile %60<\/strong>&nbsp;aras\u0131nda seyrediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ge\u00e7i\u015f S\u00fcreci ve Belirsizlikler<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Mevcut durumda etkili olan La Ni\u00f1a evresinden ENSO-n\u00f6tr (etkisiz) evreye ge\u00e7i\u015fin, \u015eubat-Nisan aylar\u0131nda&nbsp;<strong>%60 olas\u0131l\u0131kla<\/strong>&nbsp;ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Ancak uzmanlar, y\u0131l\u0131n erken d\u00f6neminde yap\u0131lan tahminlerin hata pay\u0131 bar\u0131nd\u0131rabilece\u011fini belirterek \u201cmodel belirsizli\u011finin\u201d \u00f6nemli bir fakt\u00f6r oldu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">El Ni\u00f1o ve La Ni\u00f1a Nedir?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Pasifik Okyanusu\u2019ndaki bu iki z\u0131t fenomen, k\u00fcresel iklimin ana belirleyicileridir:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>El Ni\u00f1o (O\u011flan):<\/strong>\u00a0Pasifik\u2019teki ticaret r\u00fczgarlar\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda veya tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde olu\u015fur. Do\u011fu Pasifik\u2019teki sular normalden daha s\u0131cak hale gelir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>La Ni\u00f1a (K\u0131z):<\/strong>\u00a0Ticaret r\u00fczgarlar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenir, s\u0131cak sular\u0131 Asya k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131na iter ve okyanus derinliklerinden so\u011fuk suyun yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na neden olur. Bu durum deniz y\u00fczeyini so\u011futur.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Beklenen Etkiler: Kurakl\u0131k ve Sel Riski<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130klim bilimci Kieran Hunt, El Ni\u00f1o\u2019nun tropik b\u00f6lgelerde ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Bu durumun olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u015funlard\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Asya, Afrika ve G\u00fcney Amerika musonlar\u0131 normalden daha kuru ge\u00e7ebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0ABD\u2019nin g\u00fcneyi, Peru, Arjantin, G\u00fcney Avrupa, Kenya ve Uganda\u2019da sel bask\u0131nlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.El Ni\u00f1o, k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131kta yakla\u015f\u0131k\u00a0<strong>0,1-0,2\u00b0C<\/strong>\u2018lik ge\u00e7ici bir art\u0131\u015fa neden olur. Woodwell \u0130klim Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\u2019nden Jennifer Francis, \u201cEl Ni\u00f1o geli\u015fti\u011finde muhtemelen yeni bir k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131k rekoru k\u0131raca\u011f\u0131z\u201d uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hesaplama Y\u00f6ntemlerinde De\u011fi\u015fiklik<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Bilim insanlar\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma nedeniyle \u201cnormal\u201d kabul edilen s\u0131cakl\u0131k de\u011ferlerinin de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini vurguluyor. NOAA, art\u0131k s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131 sadece ge\u00e7mi\u015f ortalamalarla de\u011fil, D\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n geri kalan tropik b\u00f6lgeleriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ran yeni bir endeks kullan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meteorolog Nat Johnson\u2019a g\u00f6re, eski ve yeni y\u00f6ntemler aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n yar\u0131m dereceye kadar \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, yeni sisteme g\u00f6re daha az El Ni\u00f1o ve daha fazla La Ni\u00f1a vakas\u0131 kaydedilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gazeteoksijen.com\/surdurulebilir-yasam\/el-nino-bu-yil-geri-donebilir-rekor-sicakliklar-kapida-mi-267457\">https:\/\/gazeteoksijen.com\/surdurulebilir-yasam\/el-nino-bu-yil-geri-donebilir-rekor-sicakliklar-kapida-mi-267457<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ulusal Okyanus ve Atmosfer \u0130daresi (NOAA), d\u00fcnya genelinde hava durumunu k\u00f6kten etkileyen&nbsp;El Ni\u00f1o&nbsp;do\u011fa olay\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l yeniden sahneye \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini duyurdu. NOAA\u2019n\u0131n verilerine g\u00f6re, El Ni\u00f1o\u2019nun Temmuz-Eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6nemi ve sonras\u0131nda geli\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131&nbsp;%50 ile %60&nbsp;aras\u0131nda seyrediyor. Ge\u00e7i\u015f S\u00fcreci ve Belirsizlikler Mevcut durumda etkili olan La Ni\u00f1a evresinden ENSO-n\u00f6tr (etkisiz) evreye ge\u00e7i\u015fin, \u015eubat-Nisan aylar\u0131nda&nbsp;%60 olas\u0131l\u0131kla&nbsp;ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1211,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya-haberleri"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/kuraklik-ly73.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1221","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1221"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1221\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1222,"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1221\/revisions\/1222"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1211"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/odakhaber.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}